Ghana Premier League, round 7 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Asante Kotoko SC — Young Apostles

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Model prediction for 18 October

Asante Kotoko SC64%
Draw21%
Young Apostles15%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Asante Kotoko SC are clear favourites: 64% against 15% for the opponent, draw 21%.

2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 36%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Asante Kotoko SC are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Asante Kotoko SC — No. 12, 8 pts; Young Apostles — No. 16, 6 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • Last 4 meetings: Asante Kotoko SC 2 wins, Young Apostles 0, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Asante Kotoko SC — Young Apostles What is xG?1.6–0.6
Asante Kotoko SC not to lose85%
Young Apostles not to lose36%
No draw79%
Both teams to score: yes36%
Both teams to score: no64%
Total over 2.539%
Total under 2.561%

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Form

Asante Kotoko SC

  • 10.10away · All Blacks0:1
  • 01.10Karela United1:0
  • 27.09Aduana Stars0:2
  • 20.09away · Samartex1:1
  • 13.09Heart of Lions2:1

Young Apostles

  • 11.10Aduana Stars1:0
  • 04.10away · Samartex0:1
  • 27.09Heart of Lions1:2
  • 20.09away · Debibi0:3
  • 13.09Holy Stars1:0

Head to head

  • 22.02.2026Young Apostles — Asante Kotoko SC0:2
  • 19.11.2025Asante Kotoko SC — Young Apostles2:1
  • 19.03.2025Young Apostles — Asante Kotoko SC0:0
  • 22.09.2024Asante Kotoko SC — Young Apostles1:1

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
11Heart of Lions62227–8-18
12Asante Kotoko SC62226–7-18
13Berekum Chelsea62138–9-17
15Vision FC61328–9-16
16Young Apostles62043–9-66
17Debibi61146–9-34

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ghana Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →