Ghana Premier League, round 7 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Aduana Stars — Ashanti Gold

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Model prediction for 18 October

Aduana Stars56%
Draw25%
Ashanti Gold19%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Aduana Stars are clear favourites: 56% against 19% for the opponent, draw 25%.

2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 39%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Aduana Stars are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Aduana Stars — Ashanti Gold What is xG?1.4–0.7
Aduana Stars not to lose81%
Ashanti Gold not to lose44%
No draw75%
Both teams to score: yes39%
Both teams to score: no61%
Total over 2.537%
Total under 2.563%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Aduana Stars
  • Aduana Stars goals
  • Ashanti Gold goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Aduana Stars

  • 11.10away · Young Apostles0:1
  • 04.10All Blacks2:1
  • 27.09away · Asante Kotoko SC2:0
  • 20.09Karela United2:1
  • 13.09Samartex0:1

Ashanti Gold

  • 11.10Samartex1:0
  • 04.10away · Heart of Lions2:3
  • 27.09Debibi2:1
  • 20.09away · Holy Stars0:1
  • 12.09Vision FC3:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
4Port City63128–5+310
5Ashanti Gold63129–7+210
6Aduana Stars63126–4+210
7Bechem United63128–8010

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ghana Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →