Ghana Premier League, round 7 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Vision FC — Hearts of Oak

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Model prediction for 18 October

Vision FC40%
Draw33%
Hearts of Oak27%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Vision FC are slightly stronger: 40% against 27%, draw 33%.

The model expects few goals: 1.6 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.

Over 2.5 goals — 25%, both teams to score — 30%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • League table: Vision FC — No. 15, 6 pts; Hearts of Oak — No. 2, 11 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • Vision FC: winless in 5.
  • Last 4 meetings: Vision FC 1 win, Hearts of Oak 2, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Vision FC — Hearts of Oak What is xG?0.9–0.7
Vision FC not to lose73%
Hearts of Oak not to lose60%
No draw67%
Both teams to score: yes30%
Both teams to score: no70%
Total over 2.525%
Total under 2.575%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Vision FC
  • Vision FC goals
  • Hearts of Oak goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Vision FC

  • 11.10away · Bechem United2:4
  • 03.10Bibiani Gold Stars0:0
  • 27.09away · Berekum Chelsea1:1
  • 19.09Medeama SC1:1
  • 12.09away · Ashanti Gold1:3

Hearts of Oak

  • 11.10Port City1:0
  • 03.10away · Dreams FC0:0
  • 26.09away · Karela United0:1
  • 20.09Bechem United0:0
  • 13.09away · Bibiani Gold Stars2:1

Head to head

  • 11.04.2026Vision FC — Hearts of Oak1:0
  • 29.11.2025Hearts of Oak — Vision FC1:0
  • 13.04.2025Vision FC — Hearts of Oak1:1
  • 08.11.2024Hearts of Oak — Vision FC1:0

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1Medeama SC642012–5+714
2Hearts of Oak63217–2+511
3Samartex63217–4+311
14Bibiani Gold Stars62136–7-17
15Vision FC61328–9-16
16Young Apostles62043–9-66

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ghana Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →