Serie B, round 9 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Ascoli — Sampdoria
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Ascoli are clear favourites: 45% against 25% for the opponent, draw 31%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ascoli — Sampdoria What is xG? | 1.3–1.0 | |
| Ascoli not to lose | 75% | |
| Sampdoria not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 40% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Ascoli
- Ascoli goals
- Sampdoria goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Südtirol0:0
- 19.09Avellino3:1
- 12.09away · Padova0:1
- 05.09Benevento1:0
- 29.08Carrarese1:1
- 09.10away · Avellino1:4
- 19.09Catanzaro2:1
- 13.09away · Mantova0:2
- 07.09away · Palermo1:3
- 29.08Juve Stabia1:2
Head to head
- 11.03.2024Sampdoria — Ascoli2:1
- 07.10.2023Ascoli — Sampdoria1:1
- 20.10.2022Sampdoria — Ascoli2:2
Table
Serie B on the same day
- BeneventoCatanzaropreliminary3930321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- CesenaEmpolipreliminary4728251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- Virtus EntellaAvellinopreliminary4729241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- LR VicenzaModenapreliminary2529462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
- MantovaCremonesepreliminary393130XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.5
- PadovaSüdtirolpreliminary333235XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →