Major League Soccer (MLS), round 31 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Atlanta United — Chicago Fire FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Chicago Fire FC are slightly stronger: 43% against 30%, draw 27%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Chicago Fire FC are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Atlanta United — Chicago Fire FC What is xG? | 1.4–1.6 | |
| Atlanta United not to lose | 57% | |
| Chicago Fire FC not to lose | 70% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Atlanta United
- Atlanta United goals
- Chicago Fire FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10FC Cincinnati1:3
- 27.09New York City FC2:2
- 20.09away · Portland Timbers1:0
- 13.09away · DC United0:0
- 10.09Orlando City2:3
- 10.10New York City FC2:1
- 07.10Vancouver Whitecaps3:1
- 27.09away · Charlotte FC1:0
- 20.09away · Nashville SC0:3
- 14.09New England Revolution1:2
Head to head
- 12.04.2026Chicago Fire FC — Atlanta United1:0
- 17.07.2025Atlanta United — Chicago Fire FC2:2
- 10.05.2025Chicago Fire FC — Atlanta United2:1
- 28.04.2024Chicago Fire FC — Atlanta United0:0
- 31.03.2024Atlanta United — Chicago Fire FC3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Inter Miami CF | 28 | 13 | +18 | 49 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Chicago Fire FC | 28 | 14 | +11 | 48 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | +7 | 47 |
| 27 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | -5 | 29 |
| 28 | Atlanta United | 28 | 7 | -15 | 27 |
| 29 | CF Montréal | 28 | 6 | -21 | 24 |
MLS on the same day
- Red Bull New YorkInter Miami CFpreliminary2925462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 2:34.1
- DC UnitedFC Cincinnatipreliminary3826361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.5
- Orlando CityNew York City FCpreliminary4127321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- Philadelphia UnionNew England Revolutionpreliminary6022171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
- Colorado RapidsVancouver Whitecapspreliminary2628462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
- FC DallasSan Jose Earthquakespreliminary4328291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- Houston Dynamo FCMinnesota Unitedpreliminary4329281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Sporting Kansas CityAustin FCpreliminary4526291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →