Major League Soccer (MLS), round 31 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
DC United — FC Cincinnati
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: DC United 39%, FC Cincinnati 35%, draw 26%.
3.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 66%, both teams to score — 70%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: DC United — No. 26, 30 pts; FC Cincinnati — No. 16, 36 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- DC United: winless in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: DC United 2 wins, FC Cincinnati 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: DC United — FC Cincinnati What is xG? | 1.8–1.7 | |
| DC United not to lose | 65% | |
| FC Cincinnati not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 30% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 66% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 34% |
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- Handicap DC United
- DC United goals
- FC Cincinnati goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · Inter Miami CF0:4
- 27.09away · Vancouver Whitecaps3:3
- 20.09Charlotte FC1:2
- 13.09Atlanta United0:0
- 10.09Columbus Crew2:1
- 11.10away · Atlanta United3:1
- 27.09away · CF Montréal1:3
- 20.09away · Houston Dynamo FC2:2
- 13.09Charlotte FC3:3
- 10.09away · Philadelphia Union0:5
Head to head
- 01.06.2025FC Cincinnati — DC United1:2
- 13.04.2025DC United — FC Cincinnati0:1
- 04.07.2024DC United — FC Cincinnati2:3
- 10.03.2024FC Cincinnati — DC United0:0
- 25.06.2023DC United — FC Cincinnati3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Orlando City | 28 | 11 | -15 | 37 |
| 16, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | -7 | 36 |
| 17, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | LA Galaxy | 29 | 9 | -11 | 36 |
| 25 | Minnesota United | 28 | 7 | -9 | 30 |
| 26 | DC United | 27 | 6 | -12 | 30 |
| 27 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | -5 | 29 |
MLS on the same day
- Red Bull New YorkInter Miami CFpreliminary2625502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.9
- Atlanta UnitedChicago Fire FCpreliminary3228402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.2
- Orlando CityNew York City FCpreliminary4228301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- Philadelphia UnionNew England Revolutionpreliminary6023181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- Colorado RapidsVancouver Whitecapspreliminary3028422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- FC DallasSan Jose Earthquakespreliminary4727261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- Houston Dynamo FCMinnesota Unitedpreliminary4129301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- Sporting Kansas CityAustin FCpreliminary4526291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →