Major League Soccer (MLS), round 31 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Atlanta United — Chicago Fire FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Chicago Fire FC are slightly stronger: 40% against 32%, draw 28%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 67%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Chicago Fire FC are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Atlanta United — No. 28, 27 pts; Chicago Fire FC — No. 5, 48 pts. A gap of 21 pts.
- Chicago Fire FC: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Atlanta United 1 win, Chicago Fire FC 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Atlanta United — Chicago Fire FC What is xG? | 1.5–1.7 | |
| Atlanta United not to lose | 60% | |
| Chicago Fire FC not to lose | 68% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 33% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 64% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 36% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Atlanta United
- Atlanta United goals
- Chicago Fire FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 11.10FC Cincinnati1:3
- 27.09New York City FC2:2
- 20.09away · Portland Timbers1:0
- 13.09away · DC United0:0
- 10.09Orlando City2:3
- 10.10New York City FC2:1
- 07.10Vancouver Whitecaps3:1
- 27.09away · Charlotte FC1:0
- 20.09away · Nashville SC0:3
- 14.09New England Revolution1:2
Head to head
- 12.04.2026Chicago Fire FC — Atlanta United1:0
- 17.07.2025Atlanta United — Chicago Fire FC2:2
- 10.05.2025Chicago Fire FC — Atlanta United2:1
- 28.04.2024Chicago Fire FC — Atlanta United0:0
- 31.03.2024Atlanta United — Chicago Fire FC3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Inter Miami CF | 28 | 13 | +18 | 49 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Chicago Fire FC | 28 | 14 | +11 | 48 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | +7 | 47 |
| 27 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | -5 | 29 |
| 28 | Atlanta United | 28 | 7 | -15 | 27 |
| 29 | CF Montréal | 28 | 6 | -21 | 24 |
MLS on the same day
- Red Bull New YorkInter Miami CFpreliminary2625502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.9
- DC UnitedFC Cincinnatipreliminary3926351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.4
- Orlando CityNew York City FCpreliminary4228301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- Philadelphia UnionNew England Revolutionpreliminary6023181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- Colorado RapidsVancouver Whitecapspreliminary3028422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- FC DallasSan Jose Earthquakespreliminary4727261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- Houston Dynamo FCMinnesota Unitedpreliminary4129301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- Sporting Kansas CityAustin FCpreliminary4526291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →