Liga MX (Mexico), round 14 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Atlante — Atlético de San Luis
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Atlante are slightly stronger: 43% against 29%, draw 28%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Atlante are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Atlante — No. 16, 11 pts; Atlético de San Luis — No. 15, 12 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Atlante — Atlético de San Luis What is xG? | 1.6–1.3 | |
| Atlante not to lose | 71% | |
| Atlético de San Luis not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Atlante
- Atlante goals
- Atlético de San Luis goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Querétaro FC0:2
- 26.09Monterrey4:2
- 19.09away · Puebla1:1
- 12.09Pachuca0:3
- 06.09away · Atlas1:1
- 12.10Santos Laguna1:2
- 27.09away · Pumas3:2
- 20.09Necaxa3:1
- 15.09away · León0:2
- 06.09Chivas0:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Atlético de San Luis | 11 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 | Atlante | 11 | 2 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 11 | 2 | -8 | 9 |
Liga MX on the same day
- NecaxaFC Juárezpreliminary5226221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →