Liga MX (Mexico), round 12 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Atlante — Pumas
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Atlante are slightly stronger: 41% against 31%, draw 28%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 66%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Atlante — No. 16, 11 pts; Pumas — No. 12, 13 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Pumas: winless in 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Atlante — Pumas What is xG? | 1.7–1.4 | |
| Atlante not to lose | 69% | |
| Pumas not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 34% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
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- All totals
- Handicap Atlante
- Atlante goals
- Pumas goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Querétaro FC0:2
- 26.09Monterrey4:2
- 19.09away · Puebla1:1
- 12.09Pachuca0:3
- 06.09away · Atlas1:1
- 12.10Cruz Azul3:3
- 27.09Atlético de San Luis2:3
- 20.09away · Atlas1:1
- 14.09away · Chivas0:3
- 11.09León3:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
Liga MX on the same day
- 4227311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- 5526191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →