Liga MX (Mexico), round 12 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Atlante — Pumas
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Atlante are slightly stronger: 42% against 31%, draw 28%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Atlante — Pumas What is xG? | 1.6–1.4 | |
| Atlante not to lose | 69% | |
| Pumas not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Atlante
- Atlante goals
- Pumas goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Querétaro FC0:2
- 26.09Monterrey4:2
- 19.09away · Puebla1:1
- 12.09Pachuca0:3
- 06.09away · Atlas1:1
- 12.10Cruz Azul3:3
- 27.09Atlético de San Luis2:3
- 20.09away · Atlas1:1
- 14.09away · Chivas0:3
- 11.09León3:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
Liga MX on the same day
- 4627271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- 5825181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →