Belgian Cup, playoff · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Beerschot — Anderlecht

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 18 October

Beerschot16%
Draw21%
Anderlecht63%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Anderlecht are clear favourites: 63% against 16% for the opponent, draw 21%.

3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 53%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Anderlecht are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Beerschot — Anderlecht What is xG?0.9–2.0
Beerschot not to lose37%
Anderlecht not to lose84%
No draw79%
Both teams to score: yes53%
Both teams to score: no47%
Total over 2.557%
Total under 2.543%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Beerschot
  • Beerschot goals
  • Anderlecht goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Beerschot

  • 02.12RAAL La Louvière1:2
  • 30.10Westerlo3:2
  • 10.05Cercle Brugge4:2
  • 04.05away · St.Truiden1:2
  • 25.04Kortrijk2:0

Anderlecht

  • 10.10away · Cercle Brugge2:1
  • 19.09Zulte Waregem3:0
  • 16.09Lyon1:2
  • 11.09away · KV Mechelen1:0
  • 06.09Genk0:0

Head to head

  • 09.01.2025Beerschot — Anderlecht0:1
  • 08.12.2024Anderlecht — Beerschot2:1
  • 18.10.2024Beerschot — Anderlecht2:1
  • 27.12.2021Beerschot — Anderlecht0:7
  • 24.10.2021Anderlecht — Beerschot4:2

Full record: 7 meetings →

Belgian Cup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →