Belgian Cup, playoff · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

KV Mechelen — Eupen

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Model prediction for 18 October

KV Mechelen61%
Draw22%
Eupen17%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

KV Mechelen are clear favourites: 61% against 17% for the opponent, draw 22%.

3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 53%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings KV Mechelen are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: KV Mechelen — Eupen What is xG?2.0–0.9
KV Mechelen not to lose83%
Eupen not to lose39%
No draw78%
Both teams to score: yes53%
Both teams to score: no47%
Total over 2.557%
Total under 2.543%

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  • Handicap KV Mechelen
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  • Eupen goals
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Form

KV Mechelen

  • 11.10St.Truiden4:3
  • 19.09away · Lommel0:0
  • 11.09Anderlecht0:1
  • 05.09Westerlo0:4
  • 29.08away · RAAL La Louvière2:2

Eupen

  • 29.10away · Royal Antwerp1:3
  • 30.10Union St.Gilloise0:3
  • 11.05RWDM Brussels2:0
  • 05.05away · Kortrijk0:1
  • 26.04Sporting Charleroi1:2

Head to head

  • 04.02.2024Eupen — KV Mechelen0:1
  • 02.09.2023KV Mechelen — Eupen1:0
  • 10.02.2023Eupen — KV Mechelen2:1
  • 22.10.2022KV Mechelen — Eupen2:1
  • 19.03.2022Eupen — KV Mechelen1:1

Full record: 10 meetings →

Belgian Cup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →