Belgian Cup, playoff · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
St.Truiden — Lommel
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
St.Truiden are slightly stronger: 47% against 27%, draw 26%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings St.Truiden are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: St.Truiden — Lommel What is xG? | 1.6–1.2 | |
| St.Truiden not to lose | 73% | |
| Lommel not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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- Handicap St.Truiden
- St.Truiden goals
- Lommel goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · KV Mechelen3:4
- 20.09Westerlo0:2
- 12.09away · SK Beveren0:2
- 05.09RAAL La Louvière4:0
- 02.09Union St.Gilloise0:3
- 09.10away · SK Beveren3:1
- 19.09KV Mechelen0:0
- 12.09away · Union St.Gilloise0:5
- 04.09Club Brugge0:1
- 29.08away · Cercle Brugge1:0
Head to head
- 08.08.2026St.Truiden — Lommel1:1
Belgian Cup on the same day
- 6122171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- 96311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 4:05.0
- 410852The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.7
- 1621632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →