Belgian Cup, playoff · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Union St.Gilloise — KFC Nijlen

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Model prediction for 18 October

Union St.Gilloise96%
Draw3%
KFC Nijlen1%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Union St.Gilloise are clear favourites: 96% against 1% for the opponent, draw 3%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 5.0 in total, against a competition average of 3.1.

Over 2.5 goals — 87%, both teams to score — 34%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Union St.Gilloise are about 1.8 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Union St.Gilloise — KFC Nijlen What is xG?4.5–0.4
Union St.Gilloise not to lose99%
KFC Nijlen not to lose4%
No draw97%
Both teams to score: yes34%
Both teams to score: no66%
Total over 2.587%
Total under 2.513%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Union St.Gilloise
  • Union St.Gilloise goals
  • KFC Nijlen goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Union St.Gilloise

  • 11.10OH Leuven1:1
  • 20.09away · Royal Antwerp2:0
  • 17.09away · Viktoria Plzeň3:0
  • 12.09Lommel5:0
  • 05.09away · Sporting Charleroi3:2

KFC Nijlen

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Belgian Cup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 96% will not happen in roughly 4 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →