Ghana Premier League, round 6 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK

Berekum Chelsea — Debibi

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Model prediction and result

3:0Came true
Berekum Chelsea54%
Draw25%
Debibi20%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, Berekum Chelsea to win (54%), came true.

Berekum Chelsea are clear favourites: 54% against 20% for the opponent, draw 25%.

2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 42%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Berekum Chelsea are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Berekum Chelsea — Debibi What is xG?1.5–0.8
Berekum Chelsea not to lose80%
Debibi not to lose46%
No draw75%
Both teams to score: yes42%
Both teams to score: no58%
Total over 2.540%
Total under 2.560%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Berekum Chelsea
  • Berekum Chelsea goals
  • Debibi goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Berekum Chelsea

  • 04.10away · Holy Stars0:1
  • 27.09Vision FC1:1
  • 20.09away · Port City1:2
  • 13.09Dreams FC3:1
  • 06.09away · Hearts of Oak0:4

Debibi

  • 04.10Medeama SC0:1
  • 27.09away · Ashanti Gold1:2
  • 20.09Young Apostles3:0
  • 13.09away · All Blacks0:1
  • 06.09Asante Kotoko SC2:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
12Asante Kotoko SC62226–7-18
13Berekum Chelsea62138–9-17
14Bibiani Gold Stars62136–7-17
16Young Apostles62043–9-66
17Debibi61146–9-34
18Dreams FC60245–10-52

Season 2026/27

Full table

Next matches

Ghana Premier League on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.3
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 4:2. Model's score: 1:0.2.1
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.4
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.1.4
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.2.3
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.6
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.1.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →