Ghana Premier League, round 6 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK
Medeama SC — Heart of Lions
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:1Came true
In short
Final score 3:1: the model's most likely outcome, Medeama SC to win (70%), came true.
Medeama SC are clear favourites: 70% against 11% for the opponent, draw 18%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.6 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 40%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Medeama SC are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Medeama SC: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Medeama SC 2 wins, Heart of Lions 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Medeama SC — Heart of Lions What is xG? | 1.9–0.6 | |
| Medeama SC not to lose | 89% | |
| Heart of Lions not to lose | 30% | |
| No draw | 82% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 40% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 60% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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- All totals
- Handicap Medeama SC
- Medeama SC goals
- Heart of Lions goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 04.10away · Debibi1:0
- 30.09Port City1:0
- 27.09Holy Stars4:1
- 23.09away · Dreams FC2:2
- 19.09away · Vision FC1:1
- 04.10Ashanti Gold3:2
- 27.09away · Young Apostles2:1
- 19.09All Blacks0:0
- 13.09away · Asante Kotoko SC1:2
- 06.09Aduana Stars0:0
Head to head
- 17.05.2026Medeama SC — Heart of Lions5:2
- 27.12.2025Heart of Lions — Medeama SC0:1
- 16.04.2025Heart of Lions — Medeama SC1:0
- 05.10.2024Medeama SC — Heart of Lions0:0
- 02.06.2024Medeama SC — Heart of Lions0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medeama SC | 6 | 4 | +7 | 14 |
| 2 | Hearts of Oak | 6 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 10 | All Blacks | 6 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Heart of Lions | 6 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Asante Kotoko SC | 6 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
Next matches
- SamartexMedeama SC18 October · Ghana Premier League4429271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
- Heart of LionsBerekum Chelsea18 October · Ghana Premier League5824181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
Ghana Premier League on the same day
- 5026241The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.3
- 5027231The most likely outcome came true: 14:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 1:0.2.1
- 5425201The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.3
- 6819131The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.4
- 5430171The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.1.4
- 4827251The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.2.3
- 4130291The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.1.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →