Ghana Premier League, round 6 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK
Karela United — Dreams FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:0Came true
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Karela United to win (48%), came true.
Karela United are clear favourites: 48% against 25% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Dreams FC: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Karela United 2 wins, Dreams FC 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Karela United — Dreams FC What is xG? | 1.4–0.9 | |
| Karela United not to lose | 75% | |
| Dreams FC not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 40% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Karela United
- Karela United goals
- Dreams FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.10away · Asante Kotoko SC0:1
- 26.09Hearts of Oak1:0
- 20.09away · Aduana Stars1:2
- 13.09Bechem United3:1
- 06.09away · Samartex1:3
- 03.10Hearts of Oak0:0
- 27.09away · Bechem United0:1
- 23.09Medeama SC2:2
- 20.09Bibiani Gold Stars2:3
- 13.09away · Berekum Chelsea1:3
Head to head
- 15.02.2026Dreams FC — Karela United0:1
- 09.11.2025Karela United — Dreams FC1:1
- 27.04.2025Karela United — Dreams FC1:2
- 24.11.2024Dreams FC — Karela United0:1
- 02.06.2024Dreams FC — Karela United1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bechem United | 6 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Karela United | 6 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Holy Stars | 6 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 17 | Debibi | 6 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 18 | Dreams FC | 6 | 0 | -5 | 2 |
Next matches
- All BlacksKarela United18 October · Ghana Premier League5427191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.7
- Port CityDreams FC18 October · Ghana Premier League5625201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
Ghana Premier League on the same day
- 5026241The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.3
- 5027231The most likely outcome came true: 14:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 1:0.2.1
- 5425201The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.3
- 6819131The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.4
- 5430171The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.1.4
- 7018111The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.6
- 4130291The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.1.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →