Ghana Premier League, round 6 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK
Hearts of Oak — Port City
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1:0Came true
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Hearts of Oak to win (54%), came true.
Hearts of Oak are clear favourites: 54% against 17% for the opponent, draw 30%.
The model expects few goals: 1.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 16%, both teams to score — 20%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Hearts of Oak are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hearts of Oak — Port City What is xG? | 1.0–0.4 | |
| Hearts of Oak not to lose | 83% | |
| Port City not to lose | 46% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 20% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 80% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 16% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 84% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Hearts of Oak
- Hearts of Oak goals
- Port City goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 03.10away · Dreams FC0:0
- 26.09away · Karela United0:1
- 20.09Bechem United0:0
- 13.09away · Bibiani Gold Stars2:1
- 06.09Berekum Chelsea4:0
- 04.10Bechem United3:1
- 30.09away · Medeama SC0:1
- 27.09away · Bibiani Gold Stars2:0
- 20.09Berekum Chelsea2:1
- 06.09Ashanti Gold1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medeama SC | 6 | 4 | +7 | 14 |
| 2 | Hearts of Oak | 6 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 3 | Samartex | 6 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 4 | Port City | 6 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 | Ashanti Gold | 6 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
Next matches
- Vision FCHearts of Oak18 October · Ghana Premier League403327XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:01.4
- Port CityDreams FC18 October · Ghana Premier League5625201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
Ghana Premier League on the same day
- 5026241The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.3
- 5027231The most likely outcome came true: 14:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 1:0.2.1
- 5425201The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.3
- 6819131The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.4
- 4827251The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.2.3
- 7018111The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.6
- 4130291The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.1.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →