2. Bundesliga, round 9 · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Bochum — Wolfsburg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Wolfsburg are slightly stronger: 44% against 30%, draw 26%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.5 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.
Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 70%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Bochum — No. 12, 7 pts; Wolfsburg — No. 5, 12 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Bochum 1 win, Wolfsburg 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bochum — Wolfsburg What is xG? | 1.6–1.9 | |
| Bochum not to lose | 56% | |
| Wolfsburg not to lose | 70% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 30% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 67% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 33% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Bochum
- Bochum goals
- Wolfsburg goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Arminia Bielefeld0:1
- 20.09away · Hannover 961:2
- 12.09Greuther Fürth1:1
- 05.09away · Dynamo Dresden2:1
- 28.08VfL Osnabrück0:1
- 10.10away · 1. FC Nürnberg4:4
- 18.09Darmstadt5:1
- 12.09away · St. Pauli0:1
- 05.09Energie Cottbus4:4
- 29.08away · Karlsruher SC5:2
Head to head
- 22.02.2025Wolfsburg — Bochum1:1
- 05.10.2024Bochum — Wolfsburg1:3
- 20.04.2024Wolfsburg — Bochum1:0
- 02.12.2023Bochum — Wolfsburg3:1
- 22.04.2023Bochum — Wolfsburg1:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Magdeburg | 7 | 4 | +5 | 13 |
| 5 | Wolfsburg | 7 | 3 | +7 | 12 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 7 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 11 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 7 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Bochum | 7 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Hannover 96 | 7 | 2 | -5 | 7 |
2. Bundesliga on the same day
- DarmstadtSt. Paulipreliminary3229392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →