UEFA Champions League, round 2 · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · Aspmyra Stadion
Bodø/Glimt — Borussia Dortmund
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 October
In short
Bodø/Glimt are clear favourites: 55% against 21% for the opponent, draw 24%.
The model expects few goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 3.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Bodø/Glimt are about 1.1 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bodø/Glimt — Borussia Dortmund What is xG? | 1.8–1.1 | |
| Bodø/Glimt not to lose | 79% | |
| Borussia Dortmund not to lose | 45% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Bodø/Glimt
- Bodø/Glimt goals
- Borussia Dortmund goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 10.10Kristiansund3:1
- 20.09away · Brann1:2
- 14.09Sandefjord3:2
- 10.09away · Bayern München0:5
- 04.09away · Fredrikstad2:1
- 09.10Werder Bremen2:2
- 19.09away · VfB Stuttgart1:0
- 12.09Paderborn3:0
- 08.09Villarreal3:2
- 05.09away · Hoffenheim3:2
Head to head
- 10.12.2025Borussia Dortmund — Bodø/Glimt2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Real Betis | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 14, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 15, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Liverpool | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 35 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 | Bodø/Glimt | 1 | 0 | -5 | 0 |
Champions League on the same day
- 3727372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- 2726472The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- 5125241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 4426301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 5125241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 3827361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 5125241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- 1320672The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →