UEFA Champions League, round 2 · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · Štadión Tehelné pole

Slovan Bratislava — VfB Stuttgart

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Model prediction for 14 October

Slovan Bratislava13%
Draw20%
VfB Stuttgart67%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

VfB Stuttgart are clear favourites: 67% against 13% for the opponent, draw 20%.

The model expects few goals: 3.1 in total, against a competition average of 3.5.

Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 52%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings VfB Stuttgart are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Slovan Bratislava — VfB Stuttgart What is xG?0.9–2.2
Slovan Bratislava not to lose33%
VfB Stuttgart not to lose87%
No draw80%
Both teams to score: yes52%
Both teams to score: no48%
Total over 2.559%
Total under 2.541%

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Form

Slovan Bratislava

  • 09.09away · Paris Saint-Germain1:6
  • 18.12Häcken1:0
  • 11.12away · KF Shkendija0:2
  • 27.11Rayo Vallecano2:1
  • 06.11away · KuPS1:3

VfB Stuttgart

  • 10.10away · Paderborn2:0
  • 19.09Borussia Dortmund0:1
  • 12.09away · Hoffenheim1:2
  • 09.09Viking3:1
  • 04.091. FC Köln4:1

Head to head

  • 21.01.2025Slovan Bratislava — VfB Stuttgart1:3

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
7, Straight to the round of 16Manchester United21014–2+23
8, Straight to the round of 16VfB Stuttgart11003–1+23
9, Knockout play-off for the round of 16Manchester City11002–0+23
34Galatasaray20022–7-50
35Slovan Bratislava10011–6-50
36Bodø/Glimt10010–5-50

Season 2026/27

Full table

Champions League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →