Norwegian Eliteserien, round 23 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Aspmyra Stadion
Bodø/Glimt — Kristiansund
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:1Came true
In short
Final score 3:1: the model's most likely outcome, Bodø/Glimt to win (92%), came true.
Bodø/Glimt are clear favourites: 92% against 2% for the opponent, draw 6%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 4.1 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 78%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Bodø/Glimt are about 2.7 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Bodø/Glimt 4 wins, Kristiansund 0, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bodø/Glimt — Kristiansund What is xG? | 3.4–0.7 | |
| Bodø/Glimt not to lose | 98% | |
| Kristiansund not to lose | 8% | |
| No draw | 94% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 78% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 22% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Bodø/Glimt
- Bodø/Glimt goals
- Kristiansund goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 20.09away · Brann1:2
- 14.09Sandefjord3:2
- 10.09away · Bayern München0:5
- 04.09away · Fredrikstad2:1
- 30.08Rosenborg4:2
- 19.09Rosenborg1:3
- 13.09away · Viking1:8
- 06.09Tromsø2:0
- 30.08away · Hamarkameratene2:2
- 16.08away · Fredrikstad0:1
Head to head
- 06.04.2026Kristiansund — Bodø/Glimt0:3
- 12.09.2025Bodø/Glimt — Kristiansund7:1
- 05.07.2025Kristiansund — Bodø/Glimt1:1
- 29.09.2024Bodø/Glimt — Kristiansund4:0
- 12.05.2024Kristiansund — Bodø/Glimt2:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League qualifying | Bodø/Glimt | 22 | 17 | +36 | 53 |
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Viking | 22 | 17 | +36 | 53 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Aalesund | 22 | 4 | -15 | 21 |
| 15, Relegation | Kristiansund | 22 | 5 | -21 | 19 |
| 16, Relegation | Start | 22 | 4 | -24 | 16 |
Next matches
- Bodø/GlimtBorussia Dortmund14 October · Champions League3426402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- KristiansundAalesund17 October · Eliteserien3427392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.5
Eliteserien on the same day
- 6421151The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:0.3.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 92% will not happen in roughly 8 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →