EFL Championship, round 13 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Bolton Wanderers — Bristol City
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Bolton Wanderers are slightly stronger: 42% against 30%, draw 28%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bolton Wanderers — Bristol City What is xG? | 1.6–1.3 | |
| Bolton Wanderers not to lose | 70% | |
| Bristol City not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Bolton Wanderers
- Bolton Wanderers goals
- Bristol City goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10away · Wolverhampton Wanderers3:1
- 10.10Stoke City1:2
- 20.09away · Norwich City4:3
- 12.09Cardiff City1:0
- 08.09West Ham United2:3
- 13.10Blackburn Rovers0:1
- 10.10away · Charlton Athletic1:1
- 18.09Watford1:0
- 15.09Lincoln City0:1
- 12.09away · Southampton1:4
Head to head
- 25.01.2019Bristol City — Bolton Wanderers2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic | 10 | 3 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Bolton Wanderers | 10 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 | Sheffield United | 9 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
Championship on the same day
- Lincoln CityBirmingham Citypreliminary373033XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.4
- Norwich CityWatfordpreliminary5625191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- Stoke CityPreston North Endpreliminary4329281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- BurnleyPortsmouthpreliminary5028221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- MiddlesbroughCharlton Athleticpreliminary7019111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- MillwallDerby Countypreliminary5227211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- SouthamptonQueens Park Rangerspreliminary5824181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- Swansea CityBlackburn Roverspreliminary5228201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →