EFL Championship, round 13 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Swansea City — Blackburn Rovers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Swansea City are clear favourites: 57% against 16% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Swansea City are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Swansea City — No. 1, 23 pts; Blackburn Rovers — No. 8, 15 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Swansea City: 4 wins in a row; Blackburn Rovers: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Swansea City 4 wins, Blackburn Rovers 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Swansea City — Blackburn Rovers What is xG? | 1.7–0.9 | |
| Swansea City not to lose | 84% | |
| Blackburn Rovers not to lose | 43% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Swansea City
- Swansea City goals
- Blackburn Rovers goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10away · Millwall1:0
- 10.10Norwich City2:1
- 19.09away · Lincoln City2:1
- 12.09Burnley3:1
- 08.09away · Southampton1:3
- 13.10away · Bristol City1:0
- 10.10Cardiff City2:1
- 19.09away · Portsmouth2:2
- 12.09Millwall3:1
- 08.09Sheffield United1:2
Head to head
- 20.01.2026Swansea City — Blackburn Rovers3:1
- 30.09.2025Blackburn Rovers — Swansea City1:2
- 22.02.2025Swansea City — Blackburn Rovers3:0
- 19.10.2024Blackburn Rovers — Swansea City1:0
- 02.03.2024Swansea City — Blackburn Rovers2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Promotion | Swansea City | 10 | 7 | +9 | 23 |
| 2, Promotion | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | +6 | 21 |
| 7, Promotion play-offs | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | +1 | 16 |
| 8, Promotion play-offs | Blackburn Rovers | 10 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Queens Park Rangers | 9 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
Championship on the same day
- Lincoln CityBirmingham Citypreliminary3230382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
- Norwich CityWatfordpreliminary6423131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- Stoke CityPreston North Endpreliminary4629251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- Bolton WanderersBristol Citypreliminary3228402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- BurnleyPortsmouthpreliminary4928231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- MiddlesbroughCharlton Athleticpreliminary731891The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- MillwallDerby Countypreliminary5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- SouthamptonQueens Park Rangerspreliminary5325211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →