DFB-Pokal, round 2 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Karlsruher SC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Borussia Mönchengladbach are clear favourites: 61% against 17% for the opponent, draw 22%.
The model expects few goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 3.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Borussia Mönchengladbach are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Borussia Mönchengladbach: 5 defeats in a row; Karlsruher SC: 3 defeats in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Borussia Mönchengladbach — Karlsruher SC What is xG? | 2.0–0.9 | |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach not to lose | 83% | |
| Karlsruher SC not to lose | 39% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Borussia Mönchengladbach goals
- Karlsruher SC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · 1. FC Köln1:2
- 19.09Mainz 053:4
- 12.09away · Freiburg0:5
- 05.09Elversberg3:4
- 29.08away · RB Leipzig0:3
- 11.10away · St. Pauli0:2
- 19.091. FC Nürnberg0:1
- 13.09Energie Cottbus0:3
- 04.09away · Hannover 962:2
- 29.08Wolfsburg2:5
Head to head
- 28.10.2025Borussia Mönchengladbach — Karlsruher SC3:1
DFB-Pokal on the same day
- BochumMainz 05preliminary1822602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.9
- Sonnenhof GroßaspachAugsburgpreliminary512832The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.6
- Hamburger SVEintracht Frankfurtpreliminary3627382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- RW EssenRB Leipzigpreliminary39882The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:43.9
- Borussia DortmundWerder Bremenpreliminary741691The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- ElversbergDarmstadtpreliminary5923181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- 1. FC KölnUnion Berlinpreliminary4027331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →