Brazilian Serie B, round 36 · Saturday, 31 October, 22:00 MSK

Botafogo SP — Sport Recife

Model prediction for 31 October

Botafogo SP45%

Draw29%

Sport Recife26%

Model estimate at 14:19 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Botafogo SP are slightly stronger: 45% against 26%, draw 29%.

2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).

Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 49%.

Why

By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

League table: Botafogo SP — No. 16, 41 pts; Sport Recife — No. 8, 51 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
Last 5 meetings: Botafogo SP 0 wins, Sport Recife 2, 3 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Botafogo SP — Sport Recife What is xG?		1.3–1.0
Botafogo SP not to lose		74%
Sport Recife not to lose		55%
No draw		71%
Both teams to score: yes		49%
Both teams to score: no		51%
Total over 2.5		43%
Total under 2.5		57%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Botafogo SP
Botafogo SP goals
Sport Recife goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Form

Botafogo SP

13.10Ceará1:0
08.10away · Operário-PR2:1
04.10Vila Nova0:1
30.09Ponte Preta2:0
20.09away · Athletic Club MG1:1

Sport Recife

11.10away · Atlético-GO1:1
07.10São Bernardo2:1
02.10away · Athletic Club MG2:1
26.09away · Náutico1:3
19.09Juventude2:1

Head to head

11.07.2026Sport Recife — Botafogo SP3:3
21.10.2024Sport Recife — Botafogo SP3:1
29.06.2024Botafogo SP — Sport Recife1:1
04.09.2023Botafogo SP — Sport Recife1:1
20.05.2023Sport Recife — Botafogo SP3:0

Full record: 5 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
7	CRB	33	15	7	11	51–47	+4	52
8	Sport Recife	33	13	12	8	45–35	+10	51
9	Operário-PR	33	13	9	11	44–45	-1	48
15	Ceará	33	11	9	13	35–40	-5	42
16	Botafogo SP	33	11	8	14	37–38	-1	41
17, Relegation	Avaí	33	10	6	17	33–43	-10	36

Season 2026

Full table

Brasileirao Serie B on the same day

01:30
CriciúmaPonte Pretapreliminary
87103
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →