UEFA Conference League, round 1 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Brann Stadion

Brann — Lincoln Red Imps FC

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Model prediction for 15 October

Brann70%
Draw18%
Lincoln Red Imps FC11%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Brann are clear favourites: 70% against 11% for the opponent, draw 18%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.

Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 51%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Brann are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Brann — Lincoln Red Imps FC What is xG?2.3–0.8
Brann not to lose89%
Lincoln Red Imps FC not to lose30%
No draw82%
Both teams to score: yes51%
Both teams to score: no49%
Total over 2.561%
Total under 2.539%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Brann
  • Brann goals
  • Lincoln Red Imps FC goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Brann

  • 09.10Viking0:2
  • 20.09Bodø/Glimt2:1
  • 13.09away · Start0:2
  • 05.09Lillestrøm1:2
  • 30.08away · Sandefjord0:0

Lincoln Red Imps FC

  • 18.12away · Legia Warszawa1:4
  • 11.12Sigma Olomouc2:1
  • 27.11away · Hamrun Spartans1:3
  • 06.11Rijeka1:1
  • 23.10Lech Poznań2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Conference League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →