Norwegian Eliteserien, round 25 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Brann — Molde
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Brann 39%, Molde 35%, draw 27%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 67%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Brann are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Brann — No. 7, 29 pts; Molde — No. 4, 37 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Brann 1 win, Molde 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Brann — Molde What is xG? | 1.7–1.6 | |
| Brann not to lose | 65% | |
| Molde not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 33% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 63% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 37% |
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Form
- 09.10Viking0:2
- 20.09Bodø/Glimt2:1
- 13.09away · Start0:2
- 05.09Lillestrøm1:2
- 30.08away · Sandefjord0:0
- 11.10away · Lillestrøm2:2
- 19.09Aalesund1:2
- 13.09away · Hamarkameratene5:1
- 06.09KFUM2:0
- 30.08away · Vålerenga4:3
Head to head
- 18.07.2026Molde — Brann1:2
- 22.11.2025Molde — Brann4:0
- 29.05.2025Brann — Molde0:3
- 23.11.2024Molde — Brann2:1
- 26.05.2024Brann — Molde1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Tromsø | 22 | 11 | +11 | 39 |
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Molde | 22 | 11 | +12 | 37 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 22 | 10 | +9 | 34 |
| 6 | Lillestrøm | 22 | 10 | -1 | 33 |
| 7 | Brann | 22 | 9 | +5 | 29 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 22 | 8 | -7 | 29 |
Eliteserien on the same day
- KFUMHamarkameratenepreliminary4627271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- Sarpsborg 08Kristiansundpreliminary6421151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- StartLillestrømpreliminary3527372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.2
- VålerengaTromsøpreliminary3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →