Norwegian Eliteserien, round 23 · Friday, 9 October, MSK · Brann Stadion
Brann — Viking
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
0:2Came true
In short
Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Viking to win (51%), came true.
Viking are clear favourites: 51% against 25% for the opponent, draw 24%.
3.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 70%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Brann 1 win, Viking 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Brann — Viking What is xG? | 1.5–2.1 | |
| Brann not to lose | 49% | |
| Viking not to lose | 75% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 30% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 70% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 30% |
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Form
- 20.09Bodø/Glimt2:1
- 13.09away · Start0:2
- 05.09Lillestrøm1:2
- 30.08away · Sandefjord0:0
- 16.08Hamarkameratene3:0
- 20.09Lillestrøm3:0
- 13.09Kristiansund8:1
- 09.09away · VfB Stuttgart1:3
- 04.09away · Sandefjord1:1
- 30.08Aalesund2:1
Head to head
- 18.04.2026Viking — Brann3:2
- 05.10.2025Viking — Brann3:0
- 13.07.2025Brann — Viking3:1
- 01.12.2024Brann — Viking1:1
- 14.04.2024Viking — Brann1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League qualifying | Bodø/Glimt | 22 | 17 | +36 | 53 |
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Viking | 22 | 17 | +36 | 53 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Tromsø | 22 | 11 | +11 | 39 |
| 6 | Lillestrøm | 22 | 10 | -1 | 33 |
| 7 | Brann | 22 | 9 | +5 | 29 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 22 | 8 | -7 | 29 |
Next matches
- VikingBayern München13 October · Champions League1219692The most likely outcome did not happen: 23:3Final score 3:3. Model's score: 0:3.3.1
- BrannLincoln Red Imps FC15 October · Conference League7018111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →