Swedish Allsvenskan, round 26 · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

Brommapojkarna — Häcken

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Model prediction for 28 October

Brommapojkarna26%
Draw27%
Häcken47%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Häcken are clear favourites: 47% against 26% for the opponent, draw 27%.

3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 62%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Häcken are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Brommapojkarna — Häcken What is xG?1.3–1.8
Brommapojkarna not to lose53%
Häcken not to lose74%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes62%
Both teams to score: no38%
Total over 2.559%
Total under 2.541%

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Form

Brommapojkarna

  • 10.10away · AIK6:5
  • 19.09IFK Göteborg0:1
  • 13.09away · Hammarby1:3
  • 06.09Elfsborg2:1
  • 31.08away · GAIS0:4

Häcken

  • 11.10Örgryte3:0
  • 20.09away · Kalmar FF5:0
  • 11.09Mjällby1:1
  • 05.09away · GAIS0:0
  • 29.08Västerås SK1:3

Head to head

  • 06.04.2026Häcken — Brommapojkarna2:2
  • 05.10.2025Brommapojkarna — Häcken1:3
  • 29.03.2025Häcken — Brommapojkarna2:0
  • 18.08.2024Brommapojkarna — Häcken1:3
  • 15.04.2024Häcken — Brommapojkarna4:3

Full record: 7 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
4Elfsborg23117535–22+1340
5Häcken23109442–30+1239
6Malmö FF23113938–33+536
10GAIS2386928–21+730
11Brommapojkarna2386936–41-530
12Mjällby23581028–39-1123

Season 2026

Full table

Allsvenskan on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →