Swedish Allsvenskan, round 26 · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Halmstads BK — Malmö FF
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Malmö FF are clear favourites: 54% against 20% for the opponent, draw 25%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Malmö FF are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Halmstads BK — Malmö FF What is xG? | 1.1–1.9 | |
| Halmstads BK not to lose | 46% | |
| Malmö FF not to lose | 80% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Halmstads BK
- Halmstads BK goals
- Malmö FF goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Elfsborg0:4
- 20.09AIK2:1
- 12.09away · IFK Göteborg1:2
- 05.09away · Degerfors0:2
- 29.08Kalmar FF1:0
Head to head
- 30.05.2026Malmö FF — Halmstads BK5:2
- 16.08.2025Halmstads BK — Malmö FF0:4
- 18.05.2025Malmö FF — Halmstads BK3:0
- 10.08.2024Halmstads BK — Malmö FF0:1
- 07.07.2024Malmö FF — Halmstads BK5:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Häcken | 23 | 10 | +12 | 39 |
| 6 | Malmö FF | 23 | 11 | +5 | 36 |
| 7 | Västerås SK | 23 | 10 | -2 | 35 |
| 15, Relegation | Örgryte | 23 | 3 | -27 | 15 |
| 16, Relegation | Halmstads BK | 23 | 3 | -28 | 14 |
Allsvenskan on the same day
- IFK GöteborgDjurgårdenpreliminary2426492The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- BrommapojkarnaHäckenpreliminary2627472The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.0
- DegerforsVästerås SKpreliminary362935XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →