Swedish Allsvenskan, round 26 · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
IFK Göteborg — Djurgården
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Djurgården are clear favourites: 51% against 23% for the opponent, draw 26%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Djurgården are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: IFK Göteborg — No. 8, 35 pts; Djurgården — No. 2, 44 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
- IFK Göteborg: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: IFK Göteborg 0 wins, Djurgården 3, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: IFK Göteborg — Djurgården What is xG? | 1.2–1.8 | |
| IFK Göteborg not to lose | 49% | |
| Djurgården not to lose | 77% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap IFK Göteborg
- IFK Göteborg goals
- Djurgården goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10Västerås SK1:0
- 19.09away · Brommapojkarna1:0
- 12.09Halmstads BK2:1
- 07.09away · Mjällby4:1
- 30.08Örgryte1:0
- 11.10away · Hammarby1:0
- 20.09Elfsborg1:2
- 14.09GAIS2:0
- 07.09away · Kalmar FF1:0
- 03.09away · Mjällby2:0
Head to head
- 04.05.2026Djurgården — IFK Göteborg6:0
- 02.11.2025Djurgården — IFK Göteborg0:0
- 12.05.2025IFK Göteborg — Djurgården1:2
- 04.08.2024Djurgården — IFK Göteborg1:1
- 01.04.2024IFK Göteborg — Djurgården1:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League qualifying | Sirius | 23 | 17 | +25 | 54 |
| 2, Europa League or Conference League | Djurgården | 23 | 14 | +27 | 44 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Hammarby | 23 | 13 | +28 | 43 |
| 7 | Västerås SK | 23 | 10 | -2 | 35 |
| 8 | IFK Göteborg | 23 | 10 | -9 | 35 |
| 9 | AIK | 23 | 9 | -4 | 33 |
Allsvenskan on the same day
- BrommapojkarnaHäckenpreliminary2126542The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.0
- DegerforsVästerås SKpreliminary3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- Halmstads BKMalmö FFpreliminary1925562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →