Swedish Allsvenskan, round 26 · Wednesday, 28 October, 21:00 MSK

Brommapojkarna — Häcken

Model prediction for 28 October

Brommapojkarna21%

Draw26%

Häcken54%

Model estimate at 19:09 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Häcken are clear favourites: 54% against 21% for the opponent, draw 26%.

3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 62%.

Why

By the strength ratings Häcken are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.

Facts

League table: Brommapojkarna — No. 11, 30 pts; Häcken — No. 5, 39 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
Häcken: unbeaten in 4.
Last 5 meetings: Brommapojkarna 0 wins, Häcken 4, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Brommapojkarna — Häcken What is xG?		1.2–1.9
Brommapojkarna not to lose		46%
Häcken not to lose		79%
No draw		74%
Both teams to score: yes		62%
Both teams to score: no		38%
Total over 2.5		59%
Total under 2.5		41%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Brommapojkarna
Brommapojkarna goals
Häcken goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Form

Brommapojkarna

10.10away · AIK6:5
19.09IFK Göteborg0:1
13.09away · Hammarby1:3
06.09Elfsborg2:1
31.08away · GAIS0:4

Häcken

11.10Örgryte3:0
20.09away · Kalmar FF5:0
11.09Mjällby1:1
05.09away · GAIS0:0
29.08Västerås SK1:3

Head to head

06.04.2026Häcken — Brommapojkarna2:2
05.10.2025Brommapojkarna — Häcken1:3
29.03.2025Häcken — Brommapojkarna2:0
18.08.2024Brommapojkarna — Häcken1:3
15.04.2024Häcken — Brommapojkarna4:3

Full record: 7 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
4	Elfsborg	23	11	7	5	35–22	+13	40
5	Häcken	23	10	9	4	42–30	+12	39
6	Malmö FF	23	11	3	9	38–33	+5	36
10	GAIS	23	8	6	9	28–21	+7	30
11	Brommapojkarna	23	8	6	9	36–41	-5	30
12	Mjällby	23	5	8	10	28–39	-11	23

Season 2026

Full table

Allsvenskan on the same day

21:00
IFK GöteborgDjurgårdenpreliminary
232651
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
21:00
DegerforsVästerås SKpreliminary
392932
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
21:00
Halmstads BKMalmö FFpreliminary
192556
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →