Copa del Rey · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

CD Atlético Paso — Córdoba

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Model prediction for 27 October

CD Atlético Paso15%
Draw21%
Córdoba64%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Córdoba are clear favourites: 64% against 15% for the opponent, draw 21%.

3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 53%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Córdoba are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: CD Atlético Paso — Córdoba What is xG?0.9–2.1
CD Atlético Paso not to lose36%
Córdoba not to lose85%
No draw79%
Both teams to score: yes53%
Both teams to score: no47%
Total over 2.557%
Total under 2.543%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap CD Atlético Paso
  • CD Atlético Paso goals
  • Córdoba goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

CD Atlético Paso

  • 30.10Eldense0:1
  • 21.12Espanyol0:1
  • 13.11Real Murcia1:1

Córdoba

  • 10.10away · Eldense1:2
  • 05.10Tenerife3:2
  • 27.09away · Real Valladolid1:3
  • 18.09away · Albacete2:1
  • 12.09Almería0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Copa del Rey on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →