Copa del Rey · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Ciudad Lucena — Rayo Majadahonda
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Ciudad Lucena 34%, Rayo Majadahonda 40%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ciudad Lucena — Rayo Majadahonda What is xG? | 1.3–1.4 | |
| Ciudad Lucena not to lose | 60% | |
| Rayo Majadahonda not to lose | 66% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Ciudad Lucena
- Ciudad Lucena goals
- Rayo Majadahonda goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 28.10CF Talavera de la Reina1:4
- 13.11away · Ibiza Islas Pitiusas1:3
- 06.01Atlético Madrid0:5
- 14.12Málaga1:0
- 02.12away · Eldense1:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
- CD CuarteGironapreliminary613812The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.5
- CF CalamochaCE Europapreliminary3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- Atletico PinatarenseElchepreliminary714792The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.4
- SestaoEspanyolpreliminary815772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
- CE ManresaSant Andreupreliminary3026432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- CastellonenseAlmeríapreliminary815772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
- CD Atlético PasoCórdobapreliminary1521642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
- Atlético TordesillasCD Mirandéspreliminary2024572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →