Copa del Rey · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Castellonense — Almería
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Almería are clear favourites: 77% against 8% for the opponent, draw 15%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Almería are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Castellonense — Almería What is xG? | 0.7–2.6 | |
| Castellonense not to lose | 23% | |
| Almería not to lose | 92% | |
| No draw | 85% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 65% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 35% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Castellonense
- Castellonense goals
- Almería goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
No past matches in the data yet.
- 11.10Leganés3:0
- 03.10Burgos CF2:1
- 27.09away · Mallorca1:0
- 20.09Celta Fortuna2:0
- 12.09away · Córdoba2:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
- CD CuarteGironapreliminary613812The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.5
- CF CalamochaCE Europapreliminary3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- Atletico PinatarenseElchepreliminary714792The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.4
- SestaoEspanyolpreliminary815772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
- CE ManresaSant Andreupreliminary3026432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- CD Atlético PasoCórdobapreliminary1521642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
- Atlético TordesillasCD Mirandéspreliminary2024572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- Ciudad LucenaRayo Majadahondapreliminary3427402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →