Copa del Rey · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

CD Cuarte — Girona

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Model prediction for 27 October

CD Cuarte6%
Draw13%
Girona81%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Girona are clear favourites: 81% against 6% for the opponent, draw 13%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.5 in total, against a competition average of 3.1.

Over 2.5 goals — 68%, both teams to score — 46%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Girona are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • Girona: unbeaten in 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: CD Cuarte — Girona What is xG?0.7–2.8
CD Cuarte not to lose19%
Girona not to lose94%
No draw87%
Both teams to score: yes46%
Both teams to score: no54%
Total over 2.568%
Total under 2.532%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap CD Cuarte
  • CD Cuarte goals
  • Girona goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

CD Cuarte

  • 31.10Racing de Ferrol1:3

Girona

  • 12.10away · Tenerife1:1
  • 04.10Mallorca0:0
  • 25.09Albacete2:0
  • 19.09away · Cádiz2:1
  • 12.09Castellón1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Copa del Rey on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 81% will not happen in roughly 19 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →