La Liga, round 9 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Celta Vigo — Deportivo Alavés
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In short
Celta Vigo are clear favourites: 48% against 23% for the opponent, draw 28%.
The model expects few goals: 2.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Celta Vigo are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Celta Vigo — Deportivo Alavés What is xG? | 1.4–0.9 | |
| Celta Vigo not to lose | 77% | |
| Deportivo Alavés not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
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- Handicap Celta Vigo
- Celta Vigo goals
- Deportivo Alavés goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · Elche0:0
- 19.09Racing Santander5:0
- 16.09away · Omonia Nicosia0:1
- 13.09Málaga1:1
- 07.09away · Getafe1:1
- 10.10Atlético Madrid1:2
- 19.09away · Athletic Club0:0
- 15.09Valencia0:1
- 12.09away · Racing Santander1:2
- 06.09Osasuna5:2
Head to head
- 22.03.2026Celta Vigo — Deportivo Alavés3:4
- 22.11.2025Deportivo Alavés — Celta Vigo0:1
- 27.01.2025Deportivo Alavés — Celta Vigo1:1
- 16.08.2024Celta Vigo — Deportivo Alavés2:1
- 27.04.2024Deportivo Alavés — Celta Vigo3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Europa League or Conference League | Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Deportivo Alavés | 8 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 | Deportivo A Coruña | 8 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
La Liga on the same day
- 5125241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- 2529462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.3
- 811361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →