La Liga, round 9 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Málaga — Real Sociedad
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Real Sociedad are clear favourites: 46% against 25% for the opponent, draw 29%.
The model expects few goals: 2.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Real Sociedad are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Málaga — Real Sociedad What is xG? | 1.0–1.4 | |
| Málaga not to lose | 54% | |
| Real Sociedad not to lose | 75% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
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- Málaga goals
- Real Sociedad goals
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Form
- 09.10Espanyol1:1
- 20.09away · Getafe0:1
- 17.09Villarreal1:3
- 13.09away · Celta Vigo1:1
- 06.09Levante0:0
- 11.10Deportivo A Coruña3:2
- 20.09away · Valencia3:2
- 17.09AFC Bournemouth1:2
- 13.09Atlético Madrid0:3
- 07.09away · Elche3:2
Head to head
- 07.01.2024Málaga — Real Sociedad0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Europa League or Conference League | Sevilla | 8 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 6, Europa League or Conference League | Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Deportivo Alavés | 8 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 19, Relegation | Valencia | 8 | 1 | -9 | 5 |
| 20, Relegation | Málaga | 8 | 0 | -9 | 4 |
La Liga on the same day
- 5125241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- 4828231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- 811361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →