La Liga, round 9 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Celta Vigo — Deportivo Alavés
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Celta Vigo are clear favourites: 49% against 23% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Celta Vigo are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Celta Vigo — No. 9, 8 pts; Deportivo Alavés — No. 7, 11 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Deportivo Alavés: winless in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Celta Vigo 2 wins, Deportivo Alavés 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Celta Vigo — Deportivo Alavés What is xG? | 1.5–1.0 | |
| Celta Vigo not to lose | 77% | |
| Deportivo Alavés not to lose | 51% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Celta Vigo
- Celta Vigo goals
- Deportivo Alavés goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Elche0:0
- 19.09Racing Santander5:0
- 16.09away · Omonia Nicosia0:1
- 13.09Málaga1:1
- 07.09away · Getafe1:1
- 10.10Atlético Madrid1:2
- 19.09away · Athletic Club0:0
- 15.09Valencia0:1
- 12.09away · Racing Santander1:2
- 06.09Osasuna5:2
Head to head
- 22.03.2026Celta Vigo — Deportivo Alavés3:4
- 22.11.2025Deportivo Alavés — Celta Vigo0:1
- 27.01.2025Deportivo Alavés — Celta Vigo1:1
- 16.08.2024Celta Vigo — Deportivo Alavés2:1
- 27.04.2024Deportivo Alavés — Celta Vigo3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Europa League or Conference League | Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Deportivo Alavés | 8 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 | Deportivo A Coruña | 8 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
La Liga on the same day
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- 2829432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
- 851141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →