Chilean Liga de Primera, round 26 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Colo Colo — Universidad de Concepción
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Colo Colo are clear favourites: 80% against 7% for the opponent, draw 13%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 42%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Colo Colo are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Colo Colo — Universidad de Concepción What is xG? | 2.4–0.6 | |
| Colo Colo not to lose | 93% | |
| Universidad de Concepción not to lose | 20% | |
| No draw | 87% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 42% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 58% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Colo Colo
- Colo Colo goals
- Universidad de Concepción goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Coquimbo Unido2:5
- 13.09Deportes Concepción1:1
- 06.09away · Huachipato0:0
- 31.08Audax Italiano5:1
- 23.08away · Universidad de Chile2:1
- 10.10away · Cobresal1:1
- 03.10Huachipato0:2
- 07.09away · Palestino1:2
- 03.09away · Coquimbo Unido0:1
- 30.08Universidad de Chile2:1
Head to head
- 26.04.2026Universidad de Concepción — Colo Colo1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 24 | 17 | +23 | 54 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 24 | 13 | +22 | 45 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 24 | 7 | -10 | 25 |
| 15, Relegation | Universidad de Concepción | 24 | 6 | -22 | 23 |
| 16, Relegation | Unión La Calera | 24 | 4 | -21 | 18 |
Chilean Primera on the same day
- Universidad CatólicaUniversidad de Chilepreliminary3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- CobresalEverton CDpreliminary3425402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- Coquimbo UnidoUnión La Calerapreliminary6620141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- Deportes LimacheAudax Italianopreliminary4924271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- O'HigginsÑublensepreliminary4726271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- HuachipatoLa Serenapreliminary5024261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- Deportes ConcepciónPalestinopreliminary372935XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 80% will not happen in roughly 20 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →