Chilean Liga de Primera, round 26 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Universidad Católica — Universidad de Chile
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Universidad Católica 37%, Universidad de Chile 36%, draw 27%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Universidad Católica — No. 3, 42 pts; Universidad de Chile — No. 2, 45 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Universidad de Chile: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Universidad Católica 2 wins, Universidad de Chile 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Universidad Católica — Universidad de Chile What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| Universidad Católica not to lose | 64% | |
| Universidad de Chile not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Universidad Católica
- Universidad Católica goals
- Universidad de Chile goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.09away · Palestino3:2
- 06.09away · Everton CD1:0
- 01.09O'Higgins3:2
- 27.08away · Coquimbo Unido2:1
- 23.08Ñublense1:2
- 12.10Ñublense6:0
- 13.09away · La Serena3:0
- 06.09Coquimbo Unido4:2
- 30.08away · Universidad de Concepción1:2
- 23.08Colo Colo1:2
Head to head
- 26.04.2026Universidad de Chile — Universidad Católica1:0
- 26.10.2025Universidad Católica — Universidad de Chile1:0
- 03.05.2025Universidad de Chile — Universidad Católica1:0
- 20.10.2024Universidad Católica — Universidad de Chile1:2
- 19.05.2024Universidad de Chile — Universidad Católica1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 24 | 17 | +23 | 54 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 24 | 13 | +22 | 45 |
| 3 | Universidad Católica | 23 | 13 | +17 | 42 |
| 4 | Everton CD | 24 | 11 | +13 | 39 |
Chilean Primera on the same day
- Colo ColoUniversidad de Concepciónpreliminary801371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- CobresalEverton CDpreliminary3526402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- Coquimbo UnidoUnión La Calerapreliminary6620141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- Deportes LimacheAudax Italianopreliminary4924271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- O'HigginsÑublensepreliminary4726271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- HuachipatoLa Serenapreliminary5024261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- Deportes ConcepciónPalestinopreliminary362935XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →