Chilean Liga de Primera, round 26 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Coquimbo Unido — Unión La Calera
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Coquimbo Unido are clear favourites: 66% against 14% for the opponent, draw 20%.
The model expects few goals: 2.5 in total, against a competition average of 2.9.
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 42%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Coquimbo Unido are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Coquimbo Unido — Unión La Calera What is xG? | 1.8–0.7 | |
| Coquimbo Unido not to lose | 86% | |
| Unión La Calera not to lose | 34% | |
| No draw | 80% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 42% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 58% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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- Handicap Coquimbo Unido
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- Unión La Calera goals
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Form
- 11.10Colo Colo5:2
- 17.09Huachipato0:1
- 12.09away · Cobresal2:3
- 06.09away · Universidad de Chile2:4
- 03.09Universidad de Concepción1:0
- 11.10away · Deportes Concepción1:1
- 15.09Deportes Limache1:0
- 06.09away · O'Higgins1:2
- 01.09La Serena0:1
- 22.08away · Audax Italiano0:0
Head to head
- 25.04.2026Unión La Calera — Coquimbo Unido1:2
- 02.11.2025Coquimbo Unido — Unión La Calera2:0
- 17.05.2025Unión La Calera — Coquimbo Unido0:1
- 03.11.2024Coquimbo Unido — Unión La Calera0:0
- 25.05.2024Unión La Calera — Coquimbo Unido1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Huachipato | 24 | 10 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Coquimbo Unido | 24 | 9 | +2 | 32 |
| 9 | Deportes Concepción | 24 | 9 | -1 | 32 |
| 15, Relegation | Universidad de Concepción | 24 | 6 | -22 | 23 |
| 16, Relegation | Unión La Calera | 24 | 4 | -21 | 18 |
Chilean Primera on the same day
- Colo ColoUniversidad de Concepciónpreliminary801371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- Universidad CatólicaUniversidad de Chilepreliminary3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- CobresalEverton CDpreliminary3425402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- Deportes LimacheAudax Italianopreliminary4924271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- O'HigginsÑublensepreliminary4726271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- HuachipatoLa Serenapreliminary5024261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- Deportes ConcepciónPalestinopreliminary372935XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →