Chilean Liga de Primera, round 26 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Deportes Concepción — Palestino
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Deportes Concepción 37%, Palestino 35%, draw 29%.
The model expects few goals: 2.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.9.
Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Palestino are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Deportes Concepción — Palestino What is xG? | 1.1–1.1 | |
| Deportes Concepción not to lose | 65% | |
| Palestino not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 37% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 63% |
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- Handicap Deportes Concepción
- Deportes Concepción goals
- Palestino goals
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Form
- 11.10Unión La Calera1:1
- 13.09away · Colo Colo1:1
- 05.09Audax Italiano0:1
- 30.08away · Ñublense1:0
- 23.08Coquimbo Unido1:1
- 12.10away · Deportes Limache2:2
- 13.09Universidad Católica2:3
- 07.09Universidad de Concepción2:1
- 29.08away · Cobresal0:2
- 24.08away · O'Higgins1:0
Head to head
- 24.04.2026Palestino — Deportes Concepción0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Everton CD | 24 | 11 | +13 | 39 |
| 5 | Palestino | 24 | 11 | +3 | 37 |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 24 | 10 | +8 | 34 |
| 8 | Coquimbo Unido | 24 | 9 | +2 | 32 |
| 9 | Deportes Concepción | 24 | 9 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Ñublense | 24 | 8 | -9 | 32 |
Chilean Primera on the same day
- Colo ColoUniversidad de Concepciónpreliminary801371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- Universidad CatólicaUniversidad de Chilepreliminary3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- CobresalEverton CDpreliminary3425402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- Coquimbo UnidoUnión La Calerapreliminary6620141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- Deportes LimacheAudax Italianopreliminary4924271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- O'HigginsÑublensepreliminary4726271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- HuachipatoLa Serenapreliminary5024261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →