Copa del Rey · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

Coruxo FC — Zamora

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Model prediction for 28 October

Coruxo FC29%
Draw26%
Zamora44%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Zamora are slightly stronger: 44% against 29%, draw 26%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.1.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Zamora are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Coruxo FC — Zamora What is xG?1.2–1.6
Coruxo FC not to lose56%
Zamora not to lose71%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Coruxo FC
  • Coruxo FC goals
  • Zamora goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Coruxo FC

  • 13.11Eldense2:2
  • 16.12Málaga0:4
  • 17.12CD Mirandés4:5

Zamora

  • 04.12Tenerife0:0
  • 30.10away · Juventud Torremolinos CF2:1
  • 22.11Villarreal1:2
  • 01.11Racing Santander2:2
  • 15.12Real Sociedad0:3

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Copa del Rey on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.6
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
  • UteboSabadellpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
  • AlcoyanoMallorcapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →