Serie B, round 8 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Cremonese — Juve Stabia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Cremonese are clear favourites: 48% against 23% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cremonese are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cremonese — Juve Stabia What is xG? | 1.4–0.9 | |
| Cremonese not to lose | 77% | |
| Juve Stabia not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 39% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 61% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Cremonese
- Cremonese goals
- Juve Stabia goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Arezzo0:0
- 19.09Virtus Entella0:0
- 12.09away · Cesena2:2
- 06.09Padova3:1
- 01.09away · Parma2:0
- 10.10away · Virtus Entella1:1
- 18.09Cesena1:1
- 12.09away · LR Vicenza1:1
- 06.09Pisa0:3
- 29.08away · Sampdoria2:1
Head to head
- 25.05.2025Cremonese — Juve Stabia3:0
- 21.05.2025Juve Stabia — Cremonese2:1
- 13.04.2025Cremonese — Juve Stabia1:1
- 20.10.2024Juve Stabia — Cremonese1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Virtus Entella | 6 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 | Cremonese | 6 | 1 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Juve Stabia | 6 | 1 | -3 | 6 |
| 16, Relegation play-off | Empoli | 6 | 2 | -4 | 6 |
Serie B on the same day
- AvellinoPadovapreliminary5028211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- Virtus EntellaMantovapreliminary4229291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- ModenaCesenapreliminary5128211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- SüdtirolSampdoriapreliminary4331251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- CatanzaroAscolipreliminary4528271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- ArezzoBeneventopreliminary3830321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →