K League 1 (South Korea), round 31 · Friday, 9 October, MSK · Daejeon World Cup Stadium
Daejeon Hana Citizen — Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (30%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 30% fails in about 70 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Daejeon Hana Citizen 34%, Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC 36%, draw 30%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Daejeon Hana Citizen — Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen not to lose | 64% | |
| Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC not to lose | 66% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Daejeon Hana Citizen
- Daejeon Hana Citizen goals
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 20.09away · Incheon United1:1
- 12.09Pohang Steelers2:2
- 09.09FC Anyang3:2
- 05.09away · Bucheon FC 19955:0
- 30.08away · Jeju SK1:3
- 20.09Gwangju FC2:2
- 12.09FC Seoul1:2
- 09.09away · Gangwon FC1:1
- 05.09Pohang Steelers2:0
- 30.08away · Incheon United1:1
Head to head
- 21.07.2026Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC — Daejeon Hana Citizen0:0
- 21.03.2026Daejeon Hana Citizen — Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC0:1
- 08.11.2025Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC — Daejeon Hana Citizen3:1
- 13.09.2025Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC — Daejeon Hana Citizen1:0
- 06.05.2025Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC — Daejeon Hana Citizen1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Championship round | Jeju SK | 31 | 12 | +5 | 46 |
| 5, Championship round | Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC | 31 | 11 | +9 | 44 |
| 6, Championship round | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 31 | 11 | +10 | 43 |
| 7, Relegation round | Incheon United | 31 | 11 | +6 | 42 |
Next matches
- Daejeon Hana CitizenGwangju FC18 October · K League 16124151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.1
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FCJeju SK18 October · K League 15227211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
K League 1 on the same day
- 4929221The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.4
- 373331XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X3:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 0:0.2.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →