K League 1 (South Korea), round 31 · Friday, 9 October, MSK · Sungui Arena Park
Incheon United — Pohang Steelers
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In short
Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (33%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 33% fails in about 67 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Incheon United 37%, Pohang Steelers 31%, draw 33%.
The model expects few goals: 2.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 35%, both teams to score — 44%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Incheon United 0 wins, Pohang Steelers 3, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Incheon United — Pohang Steelers What is xG? | 1.1–1.0 | |
| Incheon United not to lose | 69% | |
| Pohang Steelers not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 35% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 65% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Incheon United
- Incheon United goals
- Pohang Steelers goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 27.09away · Gangwon FC0:0
- 20.09Daejeon Hana Citizen1:1
- 12.09away · Ulsan HD FC1:2
- 08.09Bucheon FC 19952:1
- 05.09away · FC Seoul0:1
- 20.09FC Seoul2:1
- 12.09away · Daejeon Hana Citizen2:2
- 09.09Gimcheon Sangmu0:0
- 05.09away · Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC0:2
- 30.08away · Gangwon FC0:0
Head to head
- 12.05.2026Incheon United — Pohang Steelers0:1
- 15.03.2026Pohang Steelers — Incheon United1:1
- 27.09.2024Pohang Steelers — Incheon United1:0
- 23.06.2024Incheon United — Pohang Steelers1:3
- 28.04.2024Pohang Steelers — Incheon United0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Championship round | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 31 | 11 | +10 | 43 |
| 7, Relegation round | Incheon United | 31 | 11 | +6 | 42 |
| 8, Relegation round | FC Anyang | 31 | 10 | -8 | 41 |
| 9, Relegation round | Pohang Steelers | 31 | 11 | -9 | 40 |
| 10, Relegation round | Gimcheon Sangmu | 31 | 5 | -7 | 33 |
Next matches
- Gangwon FCIncheon United18 October · K League 1403229XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.4
- Pohang SteelersFC Anyang18 October · K League 14729241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
K League 1 on the same day
- 343036XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:1.2.9
- 4929221The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →