K League 1 (South Korea), round 31 · Friday, 9 October, MSK · Gangneung High1 Arena
Gangwon FC — Bucheon FC 1995
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:0Came true
In short
Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Gangwon FC to win (49%), came true.
Gangwon FC are clear favourites: 49% against 22% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Gangwon FC are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Gangwon FC — Bucheon FC 1995 What is xG? | 1.5–0.9 | |
| Gangwon FC not to lose | 78% | |
| Bucheon FC 1995 not to lose | 51% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 43% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 57% |
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- Handicap Gangwon FC
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- Bucheon FC 1995 goals
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Form
- 27.09Incheon United0:0
- 20.09Jeju SK0:1
- 13.09away · Gimcheon Sangmu2:2
- 09.09Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC1:1
- 06.09away · FC Anyang3:0
- 19.09Gimcheon Sangmu0:2
- 12.09Jeju SK2:2
- 08.09away · Incheon United1:2
- 05.09Daejeon Hana Citizen0:5
- 29.08FC Anyang1:1
Head to head
- 01.08.2026Gangwon FC — Bucheon FC 19950:3
- 18.03.2026Bucheon FC 1995 — Gangwon FC0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Championship round | Ulsan HD FC | 31 | 14 | +4 | 47 |
| 3, Championship round | Gangwon FC | 31 | 11 | +10 | 46 |
| 4, Championship round | Jeju SK | 31 | 12 | +5 | 46 |
| 10, Relegation round | Gimcheon Sangmu | 31 | 5 | -7 | 33 |
| 11, Relegation round | Bucheon FC 1995 | 31 | 7 | -11 | 32 |
| 12, Relegation play-off | Gwangju FC | 31 | 2 | -41 | 18 |
Next matches
- Ulsan HD FCBucheon FC 199517 October · K League 15625191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.0
- Gangwon FCIncheon United18 October · K League 1403229XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.1
K League 1 on the same day
- 343036XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:1.2.9
- 373331XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X3:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 0:0.2.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →