Swedish Allsvenskan, round 26 · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Degerfors — Västerås SK
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Degerfors 36%, Västerås SK 35%, draw 29%.
The model expects few goals: 2.4 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Degerfors — Västerås SK What is xG? | 1.2–1.2 | |
| Degerfors not to lose | 65% | |
| Västerås SK not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
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- Handicap Degerfors
- Degerfors goals
- Västerås SK goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 10.10away · Mjällby1:1
- 20.09Hammarby0:1
- 14.09away · Sirius0:2
- 05.09Halmstads BK2:0
- 29.08away · Elfsborg0:2
- 09.10away · IFK Göteborg0:1
- 19.09Malmö FF2:0
- 12.09away · AIK4:1
- 05.09Sirius0:1
- 29.08away · Häcken3:1
Head to head
- 12.07.2026Västerås SK — Degerfors2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Malmö FF | 23 | 11 | +5 | 36 |
| 7 | Västerås SK | 23 | 10 | -2 | 35 |
| 8 | IFK Göteborg | 23 | 10 | -9 | 35 |
| 12 | Mjällby | 23 | 5 | -11 | 23 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 23 | 5 | -15 | 20 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Kalmar FF | 23 | 5 | -16 | 19 |
Allsvenskan on the same day
- IFK GöteborgDjurgårdenpreliminary2426492The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- BrommapojkarnaHäckenpreliminary2627472The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.0
- Halmstads BKMalmö FFpreliminary2025542The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →